Media Wingels' AHL Power Rankings Pre Send Downs

Well, we’re doing this again.


This is my Power Rankings for each team for S34. I use a custom rating system, that you can learn about here:

Spoiler: How it Works

This rating system is similar to an ELO system that you may find in games like Chess and online games that have a matchmaking system ie; Overwatch and League of Legends. The system calculates a rating based off chosen stats that are weighed based on importance for each position.


These stats are:

• Winning Percentage, with OTL count as a half win.
  
  
• Points per Game
  
  
• Shots per Game
  
  
• Giveaways - Takeaways per game, the lower the number the better
  
  
• Offensive Zone Efficiency (OZE) which is how long it takes for a player/team to score. The lower the number the better.
  
  
• Own End Efficiency (OEE) which is the opposite of OZE, how long it takes for the opposing team to score. The higher number the better.
  
  
• Scoring Factor (SF) which is the percentage of goals that a player contributes to when on the ice.
  
  
• Goals For per Game (GF/GM)
  
  
• Goals Against per Game (GA/GM)
  

For goalies, stats included will be:

• Win%
  
  
• Save %
  
  
• Goals Against Average (GAA)
  
  
• Shots against per game
  

The "average" player will have a rating of 1000. Above that is better than average while lower will be below average. Each number is calculated by determining how good a player is in a stat compared to the median, which the middle value, which represents the "average" player in a stat. Players that are better than the median will have a higher number after calculations, while it will be lower if below average.


Example:

The median for Points per Game is about 1.7 for forwards, so if a player has a points per game of 2.0, then the player is in theory, performing better than the average forward, and thus will have a higher rating.


Each stat is distributed in a 100% scale, all in percentages, which will remain hidden as I am still a manager, and would like to keep that a secret for now.


Each stat is then put into a formula to find the total rating. Most stats require the player to be higher than the median to be considered a positive factor, but G-T/GM, OZE and GA/GM require the player to be below the median to be considered positive, as the lower number in these stats the better. There is also a coefficient to raise the rating to a 1000 average ELO system, which is different for each league/position.


Example Calculation for a NHL F: SF-OZE+GS+OEE+TEAMPTS%+PTS/GM+Shots/GM-G-T/GM+GF/GM-GA/GM x NHL F coefficient

On top of the rating, due to the increase in difficulty in the upper leagues: ratings will be increased to balance out. These Ratings only cover seasons S29-S33, and ESHL S9-S10, so if your team is made of former NHL 15 Lords, it may not show as positive. The reason it’s only this recent is the competition was much different then compared to now, and as players come and go from the league, we want to maintain that everyone is around the equal amount of data to process. Some vets may have a 70 point season from S22, but only had 35 points in S33, which wouldn’t reflect on how they are currently.


Each team will show their Total Rating, Rating by position, as well as their rank within the league. Please note that this is CURRENT ROSTERS, and will not include send downs/call ups, as I don’t want to go through that hassle, perhaps I will update the rankings after all that but for now this is how it is.

This is going to be very barebones, if you want more detail in writing, check out Salty Goat's predictions. Here's a link to one of them: https://www.leaguegaming.com/forums/index.php?threads/western-pacific-division-predications.297208

Spoiler: Eastern Atlantic

Eastern Atlantic:


1. Charlotte Checkers

Manager: @FrenchMoron

Team Rating: 1682.33 (3rd)

Offense Rating: 1583.54 (6th)

Defense Rating: 1821.62 (9th)

Goalie Rating: 1644.55 (1st)


2. Hershey Bears

Manager: @xl NiTeOwL lx

Team Rating: 1535.84 (5th)

Offense Rating: 1597.59 (4th)

Defense Rating: 1992.21 (5th)

Goalie Rating: 1020.71 (27th)


3. Bridgeport Sound Tigers

Manager: @Brisan x6

Team Rating: 1511.34 (7th)

Offense Rating: 1312.29 (27th)

Defense Rating: 1939.11 (6th)

Goalie Rating: 1282.63 (8th)


4. Lehigh Valley Phantoms

Manager: @v FrosTiC

Team Rating: 1420.35 (13th)

Offense Rating: 1415.56 (16th)

Defense Rating: 1523.14 (20th)

Goalie Rating: 1322.36 (6th)


5. Springfield Thunderbirds

Manager: @jdj71

Team Rating: 1360.16 (18th)

Offense Rating: 1139.86 (32nd)

Defense Rating: 1554.38 (17th)

Goalie Rating: 1386.23 (3rd)


6. Providence Bruins

Manager: @Broomball16

Team Rating: 1389.34 (14th)

Offense Rating: 1557.51 (7th)

Defense Rating: 1324.06 (29th)

Goalie Rating: 1286.46 (7th)


7. Wilkes Barre Scranton Penguins

Manager: @l Gentry l

Team Rating: 1258.45 (28th)

Offense Rating: 1351.60 (24th)

Defense Rating: 1390.79 (24th)

Goalie Rating: 1030.96 (26th)


8. Hartford Wolf Pack

Manager: @lGl M a T i c

Team Rating: 1086.08 (32nd)

Offense Rating: 1229.52 (31st)

Defense Rating: 1092.66 (30th)

Goalie Rating: 936.05 (30th)

Spoiler: Eastern North

Eastern North

1. Utica Comets

Manager: @PigsOnJupiter

Team Rating: 1682.33 (1st)

Offense Rating: 1721.12 (1st)

Defense Rating: 1992.41 (4th)

Goalie Rating: 1333.47 (4th)


2. Rochester Americans

Manager: @Clutch l28l

Team Rating: 1452.92 (10th)

Offense Rating: 1506.81 (11th)

Defense Rating: 1526.76 (19th)

Goalie Rating: 1325.20 (5th)


3. Syracuse Crunch

Manager: @DUSTydanglezz

Team Rating: 1386.33 (15th)

Offense Rating: 1404.99 (18th)

Defense Rating: 1531.52 (18th)

Goalie Rating: 1222.46 (11th)


4. Laval Rocket

Manager: @lX Kane 88 Xl

Team Rating: 1370.63 (17th)

Offense Rating: 1523.94 (8th)

Defense Rating: 1351.86 (25th)

Goalie Rating: 1236.09 (9th)


5. Cleveland Monsters

Manager: @Mike x Scott

Team Rating: 1347.02 (20th)

Offense Rating: 1280.06 (29th)

Defense Rating: 1657.95 (10th)

Goalie Rating: 1103.03 (22nd)


6. Toronto Marlies

Manager: @hutch2323

Team Rating: 1301.75 (23rd)

Offense Rating: 1378.67 (23rd)

Defense Rating: 1436.21 (22nd)

Goalie Rating: 1090.37 (23rd)


7. Binghamton Devils

Manager: @xMakar

Team Rating: 1221.87 (29th)

Offense Rating: 1502.76 (10th)

Defense Rating: 1016.77 (32nd)

Goalie Rating: 1146.08 (17th)


8. Belleville Senators

Manager: @AEC Wags

Team Rating: 1216.01 (31st)

Offense Rating: 1252.97 (30th)

Defense Rating: 1565.87 (15th)

Goalie Rating: 829.20 (32nd)

Spoiler: Western Central

Western Central

1. Grand Rapids Griffins

Manager: @Neil x 25

Team Rating: 1616.25 (4th)

Offense Rating: 1481.87 (12th)

Defense Rating: 1877.98 (8th)

Goalie Rating: 1488.91 (2nd)


2. Manitoba Moose

Manager: @ShortPegasus340

Team Rating: 1532.63 (6th)

Offense Rating: 1383.06 (22nd)

Defense Rating: 2000.54 (2nd)

Goalie Rating: 1214.30 (12th)


3. Milwaukee Admirals

Manager: @ASAP Jiren

Team Rating: 1449.92 (11th)

Offense Rating:1391.25 (21th)

Defense Rating: 1883.69 (7th)

Goalie Rating: 1074.81 (24th)


4. San Antonio Rampage

Manager: @SouPerSaiyan

Team Rating: 1372.68 (16th)

Offense Rating: 1589.56 (5th)

Defense Rating: 1399.85 (23rd)

Goalie Rating: 1128.63 (21st)


5. Texas Stars

Manager: @Rob475

Team Rating: 1350.77 (19th)

Offense Rating: 1294.82 (28th)

Defense Rating: 1556.75 (16th)

Goalie Rating: 1200.74 (14th)


6. Rockford Ice Hogs

Manager: @PRiME80nj

Team Rating: 1300.78 (24th)

Offense Rating: 1406.07 (17th)

Defense Rating: 1570.33 (14th)

Goalie Rating: 925.96 (31st)


7. Iowa Wild

Manager: @x iLLMaTiC 7x11

Team Rating: 1271.18 (27th)

Offense Rating: 1457.00 (14th)

Defense Rating: 1337.07 (26th)

Goalie Rating: 1019.48 (28th)


8. Chicago Wolves

Manager: @P4LE PWNR

Team Rating: 1218.84 (30th)

Offense Rating: 1421.98 (15th)

Defense Rating: 1041.91 (31st)

Goalie Rating: 1218.84 (15th)

Spoiler: Western Pacific

Western Pacific

1. Colorado Eagles

Manager: @Dunks

Team Rating: 1676.76 (2nd)

Offense Rating: 1673.75 (2nd)

Defense Rating: 2214.78 (1st)

Goalie Rating: 1141.75 (18th)


2. Ontario Reign

Manager: @RyBish33

Team Rating: 1487.05 (8th)

Offense Rating: 1634.31 (3rd)

Defense Rating: 1595.25 (12th)

Goalie Rating: 1231.59 (10th)


3. Tucson Roadrunners

Manager: @DEC3PTIVE 1

Team Rating: 1484.53 (9th)

Offense Rating: 1322.37 (26th)

Defense Rating: 2000.04 (3rd)

Goalie Rating: 1131.18 (19th)


4. Stockton Heat

Manager: @tristn

Team Rating: 1449.87 (12th)

Offense Rating: 1497.39 (11th)

Defense Rating: 1645.51 (11th)

Goalie Rating: 1206.71 (13th)


5. San Jose Barracuda

Manager: @cadillac eldo

Team Rating: 1331.21 (21st)

Offense Rating: 1462.19 (13th)

Defense Rating: 1584.78 (13th)

Goalie Rating: 946.65 (29th)


6. Palm Springs Firebirds

Manager: @Byfuglien x33x

Team Rating: 1321.97 (22nd)

Offense Rating: 1400.63 (20th)

Defense Rating: 1490.98 (21st)

Goalie Rating: 1074.31 (25th)


7. Bakersfield Condors

Manager: @Game Seven W

Team Rating: 1287.85 (25th)

Offense Rating: 1401.21 (19th)

Defense Rating: 1333.44 (27th)

Goalie Rating: 1128.89 (20th)


8. San Diego Gulls

Manager: @Manship l91l

Team Rating: 1277.00 (26th)

Offense Rating: 1340.55 (25th)

Defense Rating: 1331.62 (28th)

Goalie Rating: 1158.83 (16th)

So that’s that. In case someone might be upset, here’s a list of teams I think will have significant increases from their DP pool, and where they will project if they replace their lower players with DP’s:

- Binghamton Devils (16-19 Range, 1371 Total Rating)

- Cleveland Monsters (16-18 Range, 1377 Total Rating)

- Providence Bruins (8-10 Range, 1510 Total Rating)

- Rockford Ice Hogs (14-17 Range, 1400 Total Rating)





Thanks for reading! More of a barebones post, but wanted to get it out before everyone messes up the rosters. If you want to view more of my media, here’s some posts:


Top 32 Draft Prospects S33: https://www.leaguegaming.com/forums/index.php?posts/1953316/

ESHL S12 Power Rankings: https://www.leaguegaming.com/forums...ls-late-eshl-power-rankings-season-12.296977/

Creating the perfect tuner P1: https://www.leaguegaming.com/forums...eal-tuner-for-competitive-play-part-1.297209/

 

Love these man, keep up the good work!

 

Fuck yeah, not last in the league!

 

We are nhl 15 lords joe nahh

 

7th place, nottttta big deal

 

our offense sucks @FolksyRelic8925 @Scorvat @iDontScore9

 

Can confirm. Need to get our goalies involved in the offense to have a chance.

 

Good thing u have good goalies

 

Ehhhhhh