Week 3 AHL Goalie Power Rankings

Discussion in 'Leaguegaming American Hockey League (LGAHL)' started by Kessler82, Mar 7, 2019.

  1. Kessler82

    Kessler82 Well-Known Member

    Joined:
    Feb 25, 2017
    Messages:
    27
    Trophy Points:
    61
    Location:
    Tennessee
    Ratings:
    +85 / 0 / -1
    This is a segment I plan to kick off and continue week over week. A few disclaimers, these power rankings are purely and exclusively data driven, I have not watched everyone play, this is purely for entertainment only. I love analytics, and completely recognize they don’t tell you the full story.

    Here is how my power rankings work.

    Source: LG Player Stats & Advanced Stats

    Statistics utilized and defined:

    1. Save % - Self explainable, but the % saves against total shots.

    2. GAAGoals Against Average. Total Goals/Total Games Played

    3. GSAAGoals Scored Above Average - This is a cumulative stat that represents the number of goals allowed by a goaltender compared to the number of goals that would have been allowed by a league average goalie. The formula is (Shots*(1 – Goals Against)) – League Average. Higher is better, essentially, it’s the number of total goals saved against league average.

    4. GA% - Goals Against Average – This is goals allowed % relative to league goals allowed average. Lower is better, 100 is exactly average, 0 means you have saved 100% of shots faced. Calculation is (Goals Against/Shots Faced) / League Goals Allowed Average

    While I did include the data for the entire league, in order to be eligible for this list you had to have played at least ½ of the total number of games played, in this case 13.

    Each category is weighted evenly at 25%. I ranked each category and summed the totals to generate an overall rank.

    The league averages are as follows:

    League Save % = 82.2%
    League Goals Allowed % = 17.8%
    League Goals Against Average = 2.57

    [​IMG]


    Please provide feedback, and if you believe there are other stats I should be taking into a consideration, please let me know.
     
    Last edited: Mar 7, 2019
    • Like Like x 10
    • Winner Winner x 3
    Offline
    KesslerTN
  2. NotoriousFAT 00

    NotoriousFAT 00 Media team member. Winegum aficianado. LG dad.

    Joined:
    Apr 25, 2015
    Messages:
    934
    Discord:
    NotoriousFAT 00#5853
    Trophy Points:
    3,101
    Location:
    Winnipeg MB
    Ratings:
    +2,572 / 61 / -63
    Always nice to see good concise write ups. Well done @Kessler82
     
    • Winner Winner x 1
    Offline
    notoriousfat00
  3. PHJ314

    PHJ314 Hustler

    Joined:
    Aug 23, 2013
    Messages:
    366
    Trophy Points:
    3,421
    Location:
    Ottawa
    Ratings:
    +382 / 6 / -8
    No love for the backups ....
     
    • Like Like x 1
    In World of CHEL
    Offline
    PHJ314
  4. Kessler82

    Kessler82 Well-Known Member

    Joined:
    Feb 25, 2017
    Messages:
    27
    Trophy Points:
    61
    Location:
    Tennessee
    Ratings:
    +85 / 0 / -1
    I could in theory do two separate lists. The challenge is normalizing the data, hence the reason I had a cutoff.

    It's not for a lack of love, that's for sure.
     
    Offline
    KesslerTN
  5. TripAcez

    TripAcez Aye Stop De Puck

    Joined:
    Jan 12, 2010
    Messages:
    79
    Trophy Points:
    141
    Ratings:
    +64 / 2 / -6
    You’re the backup?
     
    • Like Like x 1
    Offline
    Tripacez18
  6. xBBoeser

    xBBoeser Well-Known Member

    Joined:
    Oct 18, 2016
    Messages:
    74
    Discord:
    xBBoeser#6666
    Trophy Points:
    1,741
    Location:
    MA
    Ratings:
    +55 / 1 / -13
    @Brn2Win18 is the best goalie in Belleville senators history
     
    • Like Like x 3
    Offline
    gohstrifle
  7. Czap17

    Czap17 Well-Known Member

    Joined:
    Jul 25, 2016
    Messages:
    28
    Trophy Points:
    211
    Location:
    Buffalo, NY
    Ratings:
    +26 / 1 / -0
    @xBBoeser false, that boeser guy was a stud and has the hardware to prove it.
     
    • Creative Creative x 1
    In World of CHEL
    No Streaming Account
  8. NEON 5

    NEON 5 S-H-U-T-O-U-T

    Joined:
    Feb 7, 2015
    Messages:
    49
    Trophy Points:
    691
    Location:
    Detroit
    Ratings:
    +64 / 22 / -10
    20 S/G Woo! New high score, did I break it?
     
    • Troll Troll x 1
    Offline
    legendaryreddog
  9. Crabby Crawfish

    Crabby Crawfish Spread the Crabs

    Joined:
    May 4, 2013
    Messages:
    113
    Trophy Points:
    1,911
    Ratings:
    +136 / 1 / -2
    I bet Hershey feels bad that they traded Cheetahlo for Crappy Crawfish
     
    • Like Like x 1
    • Funny Funny x 1
    • Winner Winner x 1
    In World of CHEL
    Offline
    CrabbyCrawfish
  10. PHJ314

    PHJ314 Hustler

    Joined:
    Aug 23, 2013
    Messages:
    366
    Trophy Points:
    3,421
    Location:
    Ottawa
    Ratings:
    +382 / 6 / -8
    I hear ya man, but this is more of a Starting goalies power rankings, not a league wide one. You've alienated half the goalies from the get go.

    *edit* It's still awesome you took the time to do it btw!
     
    In World of CHEL
    Offline
    PHJ314
  11. TripAcez

    TripAcez Aye Stop De Puck

    Joined:
    Jan 12, 2010
    Messages:
    79
    Trophy Points:
    141
    Ratings:
    +64 / 2 / -6
    ^^^ lol PHJ
     
    Offline
    Tripacez18
  12. C4NADA

    C4NADA Well-Known Member

    Joined:
    Jan 1, 2016
    Messages:
    71
    Trophy Points:
    341
    Location:
    Edmonton
    Ratings:
    +81 / 53 / -80
    bad list. joek5 should be first
     
    • Dumb Dumb x 1
    Offline
    c4nada1
  13. Neaverth

    Neaverth Well-Known Member

    Joined:
    Jun 8, 2016
    Messages:
    31
    Trophy Points:
    591
    Location:
    Buffalo, New York
    Ratings:
    +57 / 1 / -3
    Nranieri29 is a beaut
     
    In Franchise Mode
    No Streaming Account
  14. ALPHA Crank

    ALPHA Crank Well-Known Member

    Joined:
    Dec 1, 2013
    Messages:
    284
    Trophy Points:
    1,601
    Ratings:
    +314 / 19 / -50
    . It’s ok I like to not be mentioned. Keeps me at 500k
     
    • Like Like x 1
    In World of CHEL
    No Streaming Account
  15. hawksfan20

    hawksfan20 Well-Known Member

    Joined:
    Apr 22, 2017
    Messages:
    210
    Trophy Points:
    141
    Location:
    United States of America
    Ratings:
    +93 / 9 / -10
    • Like Like x 1
    No Streaming Account
  16. SmiTTy x 12

    SmiTTy x 12 “Officially UnRetired”

    Joined:
    Dec 16, 2012
    Messages:
    694
    Trophy Points:
    1,851
    Ratings:
    +774 / 30 / -32
    • Like Like x 1
    In World of CHEL
    Offline
    SmittyTV
  17. Binger

    Binger Well-Known Member

    Joined:
    Jun 17, 2014
    Messages:
    6
    Trophy Points:
    1,861
    Location:
    Western NC
    Ratings:
    +4 / 0 / -1
    Old man Binger
     
    Inactive
    No Streaming Account
  18. Too Much Twoco

    Too Much Twoco Well-Known Member

    Joined:
    Feb 6, 2017
    Messages:
    95
    Trophy Points:
    1,451
    Location:
    Richmond VA
    Ratings:
    +162 / 2 / -1
    Great article. I do agree that it would be best to include all goalies moving forward. It will be easier to do with more games played. You can set something like a minimum games required to = 3 * # of weeks completed. Then do one where if games played < 4.5 * # of weeks. That can help loosely determine if they are a backup or not. I picked 4.5 because goalies who split weeks 5-4 with one another will average out to that.

    The BIG next step would be to point out some interesting things in the data to help focus readers attention To certain areas.

    I think the best step for you with this is to do some formulas to categorize the goalies. That way you can include all goalies and maybe evaluate in separate categories.
     
    No Streaming Account
  19. Too Much Twoco

    Too Much Twoco Well-Known Member

    Joined:
    Feb 6, 2017
    Messages:
    95
    Trophy Points:
    1,451
    Location:
    Richmond VA
    Ratings:
    +162 / 2 / -1
    You could classify goalies as either backup, co-starter, or starter.

    Backups - average of less than 4 games per week

    Co-starter - between 4-5 games per week

    Starter - greater than 5 games.

    I would actually recommend calculating it based on most recent 4 weeks of data. Obviously at this point it would mean all data but in week 8 you would only be looking at average games played from weeks 5-8. Reason being that a team may have had 2 stud Gs early in season and one was classified as a backup but since got traded and has been playing 6 a week. The data would skew to show him as a "co-starter".

    No idea how detailed the data is that you pulled but if weekly, you could pull 4 week average and compare to season average to show what goalies have been hot, cold etc
     
    • Like Like x 1
    No Streaming Account
  20. Kessler82

    Kessler82 Well-Known Member

    Joined:
    Feb 25, 2017
    Messages:
    27
    Trophy Points:
    61
    Location:
    Tennessee
    Ratings:
    +85 / 0 / -1
    Great feedback. Let me see what I can do.
     
    Offline
    KesslerTN