Wingels' ELO Power Rankings AHL W2 - Let's see how this goes in the AHL. Welcome to my ELO Ratings/Power Rankings.Might do this in a more bi weekly thing, but we will see on the reception. Here’s how it works: Spoiler: Explanation This rating system is similar to an ELO system that you may find in games like Chess and online games that have a matchmaking system ie; Overwatch and League of Legends. The system calculates a rating based off chosen stats that are weighed based on importance for each position. These stats are, in order of priority for forwards: Scoring Factor (SF) which is the percentage of goals that a player contributes to when on the ice. Points per Game Goals For per Game (GF/GM) Time on Attack For (TOAF) Winning Percentage, with OTL being half a win. Goals Against per Game (GA/GM) Time on Attack Against (TOAA) LARGE JUMP Giveaways - Takeaways per game, the lower the number the better Shots per Game Goal Support For defenders: Goals Against per Game (GA/GM) Time on Attack Against (TOAA) Winning Percentage, with OTL being half a win. Scoring Factor (SF) which is the percentage of goals that a player contributes to when on the ice. Goals For per Game (GF/GM) Time on Attack For (TOAF) Points per Game LARGE JUMP Giveaways - Takeaways per game, the lower the number the better Shots per Game Goal Support For goalies, stats included will be: Win% Save % Goals Against Average (GAA) Shots against per game The "average" player will have a rating of 1000. Above that is better than average while lower will be below average. Each number is calculated by determining how good a player is in a stat compared to the median, which the middle value, which represents the "average" player in a stat. Players that are better than the median will have a higher number after calculations, while it will be lower if below average. Example: The median for Points per Game is about 1.7 for forwards, so if a player has a points per game of 2.0, then the player is in theory, performing better than the average forward, and thus will have a higher rating. Each stat is then put into a formula to find the total rating. Most stats require the player to be higher than the median to be considered a positive factor, but G-T/GM, TOAA and GA/GM require the player to be below the median to be considered positive, as the lower number in these stats the better. There is also a coefficient to raise the rating to a 1000 average ELO system, which is different for each league/position. Example Calculation for a CHL F: SF+GS+TOAF+TEAMPTS%+PTS/GM+Shots/GM-G-T/GM+GF/GM-GA/GM-TOAA x CHL F coefficient Upper leagues also get a multiplier due to an increase in overall skill, which is as follows: AHL: +25% NHL: +35% FAQ: 1. Why is my team lower in this than the actual standings? - It could be because some teams may be under performing, or your team just hasn’t had the statistical success compared to others ie; TOA, Shots and goal differential. It also takes into account your S32 statistics in a 60% S32, 40% S33 scale, in order to balance out major over and under performers compared to a full season of play. 2. How long does this take you to do? - About 2-3 hours for initial setup, but once I have everything setup, about 90 mins or so. 3. Why do you hate my team? - Because I have emotional issues. Thanks for reading! Let me know if I should keep doing it here in the AHL! Any feedback is appreciated! Support the news team, like, comment & share your thoughts on their work
this needs updating always remember to wait for 5pm for trades to happen and be finalized. but keep it coming the more rankings the better
1. Why is my team lower in this than the actual standings? - It could be because some teams may be under performing, or your team just hasn’t had the statistical success compared to others ie; TOA, Shots and goal differential. It also takes into account your S32 statistics in a 60% S32, 40% S33 scale, in order to balance out major over and under performers compared to a full season of play.
Great chart. I’d use 60% S33 and 40% S32 because teams and lines change so much between seasons. Using 60% of a value that may not represent the true story of “current time” seems a bit too much in my opinion. And one last comment (sorry), I’d add format for median and average of each category.
